Small U.S. cities dominated The Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com Emerging Housing Markets Index in the third quarter, as high housing costs and remote-work opportunities drive many home buyers to seek out more living and outdoor space.

The housing boom sparked by Covid-19 has been widespread, with prices surging in major metro areas and small towns alike. While the number of home sales has moderated in recent months, demand continues to outpace the supply of homes on the market.

Many smaller metro areas around the U.S. benefited in the past year from inward migration, as residents of bigger cities took advantage of remote work to seek cheaper housing and a different lifestyle. Vacation destinations also boomed.

Elkhart, Ind., which bills itself as the RV capital of the world because its region is the country’s leading manufacturer of recreational vehicles, topped the housing index this quarter, followed by Rapid City, S.D., Topeka, Kan., Raleigh, N.C., and Jefferson City, Mo.

The Elkhart area has about 206,000 residents, and the top 10 housing markets in the latest ranking have an average population size of about 330,000.

The index identifies the top metro areas for home buyers seeking an appreciating housing market and appealing lifestyle amenities.

The top-ranked markets this quarter had faster-growing populations and more shopping interest from shoppers outside their metro areas than the market as a whole, said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. News Corp, parent of The Wall Street Journal, operates Realtor.com.

RANK CHANGE AREA STATE
1 Elkhart-Goshen IN
2 Rapid City SD
3 Topeka KS
4 Raleigh NC
5 Jefferson City MO
6 Burlington NC
7 Coeur D’Alene ID
8 Eureka-Arcata-Fortuna CA
9 Johnson City TN
10 Huntsville AL
11 Colorado Springs CO
12 Fort Wayne IN
13 Manchester-Nashua NH
14 Kennewick-Richland WA
15 Decatur AL
16 Billings MT
17 North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton FL
18 Waco TX
19 Durham-Chapel Hill NC
20 Boulder CO
21 Lafayette-West Lafayette IN
22 Vallejo-Fairfield CA
23 Fresno CA
24 Fort Collins CO
25 Janesville-Beloit WI
26 Kingsport-Bristol-Bristol TN-VA
27 Columbia SC
28 Visalia-Porterville CA
29 Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC-SC
30 Lakeland-Winter Haven FL
31 Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin TN
32 Portland-South Portland ME
33 Wilmington NC
34 Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent FL
35 Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers AR-MO
36 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL
37 Appleton WI
38 La Crosse-Onalaska WI-MN
39 Salinas CA
40 Austin-Round Rock TX
41 Rocky Mount NC
42 Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach SC-NC
43 Worcester MA-CT
44 Columbus OH
45 Spokane-Spokane Valley WA
46 Santa Cruz-Watsonville CA
47 Reno NV
48 Modesto CA
49 Ogden-Clearfield UT
50 Columbia MO
51 Concord NH
52 Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Beaufort SC
53 Killeen-Temple TX
54 San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles-Arroyo Grande CA
55 Tyler TX
56 San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara CA
57 Greenville NC
58 Rochester NY
59 Denver-Aurora-Lakewood CO
60 Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise NV
61 Yuma AZ
62 Elizabethtown-Fort Knox KY
63 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford FL
64 Bellingham WA
65 Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island FL
66 Salt Lake City UT
67 Springfield MA
68 Knoxville TN
69 Chattanooga TN-GA
70 Punta Gorda FL
71 Merced CA
72 Yakima WA
73 Burlington-South Burlington VT
74 Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina HI
75 Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade CA
76 Canton-Massillon OH
77 Jacksonville NC
78 Clarksville TN-KY
79 Stockton-Lodi CA
80 Boise City ID
81 Traverse City MI
82 Oshkosh-Neenah WI
83 Pueblo CO
84 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ
85 Olympia-Tumwater WA
86 Springfield MO
87 Charleston-North Charleston SC
88 Prescott AZ
89 Winston-Salem NC
90 Grand Junction CO
91 Greensboro-High Point NC
92 Springfield OH
93 Greeley CO
94 Dayton OH
95 Providence-Warwick RI-MA
96 Blacksburg-Christiansburg-Radford VA
97 Longview TX
98 The Villages FL
99 Bremerton-Silverdale WA
100 Spartanburg SC
101 Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin FL
102 Athens-Clarke County GA
103 Akron OH
104 Lynchburg VA
105 Sebastian-Vero Beach FL
106 Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville FL
107 Port St. Lucie FL
108 Joplin MO
109 Louisville/Jefferson County KY-IN
110 Grand Rapids-Wyoming MI
111 Boston-Cambridge-Newton MA-NH
112 Cape Coral-Fort Myers FL
113 Gainesville GA
114 Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach FL
115 Monroe MI
116 Tucson AZ
117 Memphis TN-MS-AR
118 Dover DE
119 Santa Maria-Santa Barbara CA
120 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX
121 Provo-Orem UT
122 Greenville-Anderson-Mauldin SC
123 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA
124 Pottsville PA
125 Wichita Falls TX
126 Yuba City CA
127 Madison WI
128 Jacksonville FL
129 Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford CT
130 Bakersfield CA
131 Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura CA
132 Eugene OR
133 Bend-Redmond OR
134 Green Bay WI
135 Hilo HI
136 Asheville NC
137 Santa Rosa CA
138 Norwich-New London CT
139 Dothan AL
140 South Bend-Mishawaka IN-MI
141 Sioux City IA-NE-SD
142 Lake Havasu City-Kingman AZ
143 Savannah GA
144 New Haven-Milford CT
145 San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward CA
146 Santa Fe NM
147 Fort Smith AR-OK
148 Fayetteville NC
149 Homosassa Springs FL
150 Albuquerque NM
151 Bowling Green KY
152 Bangor ME
153 Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton PA-NJ
154 Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson IN
155 Cedar Rapids IA
156 Salem OR
157 Gainesville FL
158 St. Cloud MN
159 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell GA
160 Abilene TX
161 Racine WI
162 Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway AR
163 Niles-Benton Harbor MI
164 Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro OR-WA
165 Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton NC
166 Reading PA
167 Chambersburg-Waynesboro PA
168 Warner Robins GA
169 Terre Haute IN
170 Saginaw MI
171 Omaha-Council Bluffs NE-IA
172 Roanoke VA
173 State College PA
174 Lubbock TX
175 Bloomington IN
176 Ann Arbor MI
177 Barnstable Town MA
178 Lancaster PA
179 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario CA
180 Florence SC
181 Salisbury MD-DE
182 Panama City FL
183 Evansville IN-KY
184 Scranton–Wilkes-Barre–Hazleton PA
185 Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC
186 Cincinnati OH-KY-IN
187 Wichita KS
188 Toledo OH
189 Augusta-Richmond County GA-SC
190 Hagerstown-Martinsburg MD-WV
191 Kalamazoo-Portage MI
192 Richmond VA
193 Harrisburg-Carlisle PA
194 Johnstown PA
195 Amarillo TX
196 East Stroudsburg PA
197 Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington MN-WI
198 Sioux Falls SD
199 Lebanon PA
200 College Station-Bryan TX
201 Detroit-Warren-Dearborn MI
202 Auburn-Opelika AL
203 Albany GA
204 Columbus GA-AL
205 Flint MI
206 Daphne-Fairhope-Foley AL
207 San Antonio-New Braunfels TX
208 San Diego-Carlsbad CA
209 Morgantown WV
210 Texarkana TX-AR
211 Tulsa OK
212 Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis WI
213 Brownsville-Harlingen TX
214 Erie PA
215 Chico CA
216 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV
217 Claremont-Lebanon NH-VT
218 Duluth MN-WI
219 Huntington-Ashland WV-KY-OH
220 Torrington CT
221 Wausau WI
222 Mobile AL
223 Tallahassee FL
224 Rockford IL
225 Medford OR
226 Wheeling WV-OH
227 Kansas City MO-KS
228 Florence-Muscle Shoals AL
229 Lexington-Fayette KY
230 Birmingham-Hoover AL
231 Macon GA
232 Oklahoma City OK
233 Muskegon MI
234 Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls NY
235 Hattiesburg MS
236 El Paso TX
237 Eau Claire WI
238 Cleveland-Elyria OH
239 Youngstown-Warren-Boardman OH-PA
240 Tupelo MS
241 Monroe LA
242 Charlottesville VA
243 Lansing-East Lansing MI
244 Jackson MI
245 Redding CA
246 Binghamton NY
247 Tuscaloosa AL
248 Anchorage AK
249 Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk CT
250 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land TX
251 Peoria IL
252 York-Hanover PA
253 Baltimore-Columbia-Towson MD
254 Rochester MN
255 Montgomery AL
256 Ottawa-Peru IL
257 Bloomington IL
258 Battle Creek MI
259 Fargo ND-MN
260 Las Cruces NM
261 Charleston WV
262 St. Louis MO-IL
263 Pittsfield MA
264 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach FL
265 Urban Honolulu HI
266 Laredo TX
267 Houma-Thibodaux LA
268 Des Moines-West Des Moines IA
269 Chicago-Naperville-Elgin IL-IN-WI
270 Mcallen-Edinburg-Mission TX
271 Trenton NJ
272 Gulfport-Biloxi-Pascagoula MS
273 Corpus Christi TX
274 Jackson MS
275 Lafayette LA
276 New Orleans-Metairie LA
277 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim CA
278 Syracuse NY
279 Iowa City IA
280 Bismarck ND
281 Champaign-Urbana IL
282 Pittsburgh PA
283 Waterloo-Cedar Falls IA
284 Atlantic City-Hammonton NJ
285 Beaumont-Port Arthur TX
286 Baton Rouge LA
287 Midland TX
288 Ocala FL
289 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington PA-NJ-DE-MD
290 Albany-Schenectady-Troy NY
291 Lincoln NE
292 Lake Charles LA
293 Utica-Rome NY
294 Alexandria LA
295 Kingston NY
296 Odessa TX
297 Springfield IL
298 Shreveport-Bossier City LA
299 Davenport-Moline-Rock Island IA-IL
300 New York-Newark-Jersey City NY-NJ-PA

“There’s a lot of flux in the housing market because of the flexibility people have,” said Ben Ayers, senior economist at Nationwide Insurance. “We’ve seen huge demand for homes in suburban and exurban areas, as many people decided they want to move out from the center cores.”

The recreational-vehicle industry is a major player in Elkhart’s economy. The Covid-19 pandemic spurred more RV demand, as households wanted to travel while keeping their distance from others. Wholesale RV shipments in the first eight months of 2021 rose 53.8% from the same period in 2020, according to the RV Industry Association.

An RV manufacturing plant in Elkhart.

Photo: David Kasnic for The Wall Street Journal

Unemployment in the Elkhart area stood at 3% in August, compared with 5.1% on average for the 300 metro areas included in the index. Weekly average wages in Elkhart were $1,118 in the first quarter, above the $1,049 weekly average for all the metro areas in the index.

Elkhart sits at the junction of the St. Joseph and Elkhart rivers. The region’s attractions include kayaking and canoeing, and an arts scene with community theaters and galleries. It also boasts both a superhero museum and an RV hall of fame.

The city of Elkhart, with a population of about 52,000, is more diverse than the broader metro area. Elkhart’s population is about 26% Hispanic and 15% Black, according to census data.

Low mortgage-interest rates have fueled strong demand from first-time home buyers, said Patty Miller, president of the Elkhart County Board of Realtors.

The median home-sale price in Elkhart County rose 12.3% in August from a year earlier to $209,900, according to the Indiana Association of Realtors. There were 163 homes for sale that month, down from 220 a year earlier.

Market activity has slowed slightly in recent weeks, but “anything under $250,000 still goes very, very fast,” Ms. Miller said. “Those are the hardest to come by and the fastest to sell.”

A home for sale in Topeka, Kan., which ranked third on the list.

Photo: Christopher Smith for the Wall Street Journal

About 65% of page views on Elkhart-area property listings came from outside the metro area in the second quarter, up from about 61% a year earlier, according to Realtor.com. The top metro areas for interest in Elkhart listings were Chicago, South Bend, Ind., and Detroit.

North Carolina had three metro areas in the top 20 of this quarter’s ranking: Raleigh, Burlington and Durham-Chapel Hill.

Crystal and Richard Haynes moved from Connecticut to Durham about three years ago for a lower cost of living. They bought a four-bedroom house in Granville County, near Durham, in September for about $223,000.

“I didn’t know how hard it was going to be” to compete in the frenzied housing market this year, Ms. Haynes said. “I would see a house on the market, and the next day it would be pending.”

The Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com Emerging Housing Markets Index ranks the 300 biggest metro areas in the U.S. In addition to housing-market indicators, the index incorporates economic and lifestyle data, including real-estate taxes, unemployment, wages, commute time and small-business loans.

Median listing prices in the top 20 markets in the index have risen 13.4% on average in the past year, outpacing a 6.6% rise for all 300 areas, Ms. Hale said. The top 20 markets had a median price of $392,800, higher than the overall market’s $359,100, she said.

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS

What should home buyers look for in an emerging housing market? Join the conversation below.

Write to Nicole Friedman at [email protected]

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This post first appeared on wsj.com

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