Lloyds delivered an upbeat assessment of the UK economy as it predicted a rise in house prices this year – but also revealed disappointing first-quarter profits.

Britain’s biggest mortgage lender thinks prices will rise 1.5 per cent in 2024, helped by lower interest rates.

That reverses a previous forecast of a 2.2 per cent fall. It also cut its forecast for unemployment and said customers were mostly coping with cost of living pressures.

‘We have seen an improved outlook,’ said finance director William Chalmers.

The group, which also includes the Halifax and Bank of Scotland, said its profits for the first quarter of 2024 fell 28 per cent compared to £1.63billion in the same period last year.

Upbeat: Lloyds, which is Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, now thinks house prices will rise by 1.5% over the course of 2024, helped by lower interest rates

Upbeat: Lloyds, which is Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, now thinks house prices will rise by 1.5% over the course of 2024, helped by lower interest rates

Upbeat: Lloyds, which is Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, now thinks house prices will rise by 1.5% over the course of 2024, helped by lower interest rates

It faced fierce competition in the mortgage market, with a £1.6billion dip in home loans after borrowers switched to rivals. 

But it pointed to a pick-up in mortgage applications.

Chalmers said Lloyds expected the market to grow by around 5 per cent over the course of the year. 

The bank thinks the Bank of England will cut interest rates three times this year as inflation recedes, which will support demand.

The brighter picture comes after a period when households were squeezed by inflation and borrowing costs. 

Chalmers added: ‘There was a slow housing market. 

‘I think what we are starting to see in 2024 is a bit of a recovery.

Matt Britzman, analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said the fall in profits was expected. 

‘Lloyds is showing why UK banking is an attractive place to be now. Consumers remain resilient to cost pressures.’

Lloyds shares rose 0.9 per cent, or 0.44p, to 51.78p.

…but loan rates rise 

Average mortgage rates on certain fixed rate deals are above 6pc for the first time since November, figures from Rightmove show.

It suggests that while the Bank of England is expected to cut rates soon, uncertainty over the timing is affecting the cost of loans. Rightmove’s weekly mortgage tracker showed the average rate for a two-year fixed, 95pc loan-to-value deal fell to 5.56pc in January but is now 6.02pc, up from 5.48pc a year ago.

The average rate across two-year fixed mortgages was 5.29pc, up from 4.75pc.

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