Motorists could be stuck in congestion twice as bad as current levels when self-driving cars become common, a Government report warns.
Delays may rise by up to 85 per cent from 2025 to 2060 in that scenario, according to Department for Transport traffic projections.
The analysis is based on autonomous vehicles making up half of the car fleet by 2047, along with a ‘fast uptake’ of electric cars.
When fully self-driving cars become more mainstream and share the roads with human motorists from 2025 to 2060, traffic delays may rise by up to 85%
This would lead to more traffic by ‘increasing the mobility of the elderly and those who do not hold a driving licence’, according to the report, published last month.
It claims ‘the ability to work or relax while travelling in a self-driving car’ means occupants will be ‘more amenable to sitting in traffic’.
Half of motorists already think you can buy a fully self-driving car now!
Motorists in the UK are ‘dangerously confused’ about the difference between ‘assisted driving’ features available in today’s cars and fully self-driving vehicles that are not expected to be on our roads for years, according to a recent report.
While full vehicle automation – which will allow a user to sit back and check emails and watch TV while the car drives itself – is currently being developed, no entirely ‘self-driving’ model is on sale today and nor is their legislation for their use in Britain.
Despite this, over half of drivers polled in a survey believe they can buy a fully-autonomous car in showrooms today.
RAC Foundation director Steve Gooding said: ‘There are 5.9million licence holders aged 70 or over in Britain, so we know the demand for mobility is there among those of a senior age.
In the foreseeable future, automated vehicles offer the tantalising prospect of independence for the many millions more people who fall into the older age group but for whatever reason – cost, medical impairment – don’t currently drive.’
Mr Gooding said the way autonomous technology is deployed will be significant.
He said: ‘If we are prepared to… forego personal ownership then we could have a win-win situation: quieter roads, fewer cars shared by the many and cheaper transport.’
Recent analysis by traffic information supplier Inrix found that UK drivers lost an average of 80 hours last year due to congestion, a seven-hour increase from 2021.
In London, drivers spent an average of 156 hours sitting in traffic.
Fully driverless cars are not legally permitted in the UK but autonomous features are being developed by car makers.
In August last year the DfT said it expected self-driving vehicles to be available for use by 2025.
Various reports have pointed to an increase in congestion and potential rise in collisions when fully autonomous vehicles become increasingly popular and begin to share the roads with human drivers.
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