Airbnb Inc. ABNB 6.72% is expected to post a steep fourth-quarter loss in its first earnings as a public company, as costs tied to its market debut cap a year in which the coronavirus pandemic ravaged the travel industry.

Analysts polled by FactSet forecast a loss of $2.73 billion in the three months through December compared with a loss of $351 million a year earlier, as stock compensation tied to the company’s initial public offering is expected to weigh on its bottom line. The latest loss is expected to bring the company’s full-year deficit to $3.84 billion, more than its losses in the previous four years combined.

Airbnb saw revenue evaporate in the early months of the health crisis. That started to change as scores of people used the platform to plan nearby trips in the summer. Fourth-quarter revenue is expected to fall 33% to $747 million from $1.06 billion a year earlier. Full-year revenue is expected to fall 32%.

Airbnb was bleeding cash earlier this year, making its plans to go public by the end of 2020 look bleak. But by adapting its business to the pandemic, Airbnb looks to have salvaged its IPO and possibly its future. Photo illustration: Jacob Reynolds/WSJ

Airbnb has been the bellwether of an otherwise battered travel industry. Chief Executive Brian Chesky successfully pivoted the company’s strategy to focus on rural stays while hotels in big cities suffered. At the same time, he cut a quarter of staff, paused noncore operations and slashed the company’s hefty marketing budget to keep expenses down.

The uptick in revenue, combined with deep cost cuts, helped Airbnb turn a third-quarter profit, boosting investor confidence ahead of its initial public offering in December. Airbnb shares doubled in their market debut and had climbed nearly threefold from their IPO price through Wednesday’s close. The San Francisco home-sharing company’s results are expected Thursday after market hours.

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The June through September quarter is the most lucrative for Airbnb because of seasonal factors such as summer vacations, and the company has turned a profit in that period since 2018. But it warned investors ahead of its IPO that its fourth-quarter results could be crimped by new lockdowns in Europe.

The company’s rapid growth has come with its share of challenges. Some homeowners have resisted the growth of short-term rentals amid concerns about noise, crime and plummeting property values.

Many U.S. cities have tightened rules covering short-term rental operations, as have European cities including Rome and Barcelona.

Write to Preetika Rana at [email protected]

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This post first appeared on wsj.com

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