Analysis: invaders unlikely to complete encirclement of capital in near future, says Institute of the Study of War

Russia’s offensive around Kyiv appears to have largely ground to a halt – despite the regular bombing of residential areas in the capital – as the invaders attempt to regroup and resupply in the north-west and east of Ukraine.

A week ago, the influential Institute of the Study of War, a US thinktank tracking the fighting, had thought that an encirclement of the capital could be achieved within “24 to 96 hours” – but the events of recent days have prompted it to change its mind.

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