Kyiv’s counteroffensive slog means war is far from over – and Moscow still has chance of succeeding in its revised aims

Ukraine’s declaration that it has breached the first of Russia’s defensive lines, towards the village of Verbove, on the critical southern Zaporizhzhia front, might give rise to hopes that, after three months of counteroffensive slog, it will be possible for Kyiv’s forces to make faster progress in expelling the Russian invaders.

In reality, it would be unwise to be too optimistic – or too pessimistic. Steadily clearing through the mine belt ahead of the first Russian fortifications is a significant achievement: the defenders have laid up to four to five mines a square metre in some places, Ukraine’s military says, a mixture of anti-tank and anti-personnel mines, sometimes stacking anti-tank mines on top of each other to ensure the destruction of any mine sweeping equipment brought forward.

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