In the most marginal seats, voters of working age with no degree make up a large proportion of the electorate
From a seemingly unassailable position in 2019, Boris Johnson’s Conservatives have lost both their consistent poll lead over Labour and two byelections on the trot.
Partygate and the cost of living crisis mean that, if there were an election tomorrow, Johnson’s 2019 majority would in all likelihood be wiped out and Keir Starmer would end up in Downing Street. Much analysis has therefore turned to which voters are moving away from the Conservatives and how this plays out across different constituencies.
Chris Curtis, head of political polling, Opinium
Tom Collinge, head of policy and communications at Progressive Britain, also contributed to this article
