Shadow Cabinet Office minister makes £10 bet on Sky News that Conservatives are planning for May election

In a Spectator blog yesterday, Katy Balls said she did not think Rishi Sunak was likely to go for a May election. Referring to the dire Ipsos polling for the party, she said:

While a May election has been discussed previously by No. 10 aides, it is unlikely. The argument for going early is that things will only go worse as the year goes on, so why not cut your losses and go now. However, polls such as this one make it rather hard to argue that going to the polls before the Tories need to is a good idea. What’s more, while there are plenty of problems coming up the track, the current picture is not good – the Tories will not want to call an election while the UK is in a technical recession.

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