The party hasn’t reconnected with its traditional working-class voters – and looking soft on immigration will make things worse
Labour has staged one of the most impressive recoveries in history. After finding itself outflanked by Nigel Farage’s national populism, then Brexit, and then Boris Johnson, the party now commands a 17-point lead in the polls over the Conservatives, more than enough to win a majority next year.
Other things also seem to be moving Labour’s way. The implosion of the Scottish National party opens the door to a serious Labour recovery there, which, in turn, will make life much easier for the party in non-London England where, remarkably, it has not won the popular vote since 2001.