Japan is printing a bunch of lower-tier reports this week, but the yen will likely take its cues from other key market themes.

Which events should you look out for?

I’ve got a list!

Japan’s economic releases

  • Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) meeting minutes (Nov 3, 11:50 pm GMT) will explain the central bankers’ decision to trim its growth forecasts for 2020
  • Average cash earnings (Nov 5, 11:30 pm GMT) could see a 0.2% uptick (from -1.3%) in September
  • Household spending (Nov 5, 11:30 pm GMT) seen growing by 2.5% after a 1.7% increase in August

Safe-haven demand

  • As a low-yielding (and supposedly low risk) currency, traders will flock to the safe-haven yen in times of uncertainty
  • All eyes will be on the U.S. election results, which could lead to contested results and prolonged counting in case we don’t see a clear winner on November 3
  • Policy decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Bank of England (BOE), and the Fed can also inspire intraday volatility among the majors
  • Rising coronavirus cases around the world and the impact of imposed lockdowns can also boost the demand for the yen

Technical snapshot

  • The yen has strengthened against ALL of its major counterparts in the last 30 days
  • It saw the most gains against the Aussie, followed by the euro and Kiwi
JPY Forex Pairs Performance from MarketMilk
JPY Forex Pairs Performance from MarketMilk
  • Stochastic considers the yen “overbought” against AUD, CAD, EUR, and CHF on the daily time frame
  • The rest of the yen’s counterparts are also heading to overbought territory
JPY Forex Pairs Stochastic from MarketMilk
JPY Forex Pairs Stochastic from MarketMilk
  • JPY saw the most volatility against the comdolls and the pound in the last seven days
JPY Forex Pairs Volatility from MarketMilk
JPY Forex Pairs Volatility from MarketMilk

This post first appeared on babypips.com

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