After months of vitriol and tens of millions of dollars worth of TV ads, Pennsylvania’s primaries for Senate and governor will be decided Tuesday, promising further clues about the future of the Republican Party and the strength of its leader, former President Donald Trump.

Polls in the Keystone State are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.

May 17, 202202:25

In the battle to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Pat Toomey, Trump-backed Mehmet Oz, a celebrity physician known from his nationally syndicated daytime talk show, is locked in a three-way fight for the GOP nomination. He and former hedge fund manager Dave McCormick have bombarded the state’s airwaves with commercials. But polls have shown Kathy Barnette — a conservative commentator who has spent far less money and would be the first woman and Black candidate to win a Senate seat in Pennsylvania — surging late.

In the GOP race for governor, state Sen. Doug Mastriano has led in recent polls, while former U.S. Rep. Lou Barletta has attempted to consolidate support among Republicans who worry that Mastriano is too extreme to be elected this fall. Trump, however, weighed in Saturday with a last-minute endorsement of Mastriano.

Mastriano and Barnette, who have campaigned as a tandem, represent the party’s far-right flank. Both traveled to Washington on Jan. 6, 2021, to protest President Joe Biden’s 2020 election victory over Trump. Both also have denied that they participated in the violent riot that breached the Capitol that day.

“I feel about Jan. 6 the way the left feels about the summer of 2020, when you have Black Lives Matter and antifa and other groups out there looting and robbing and and everyone was calling it mostly peaceful protests,” Barnette told NBC News in an interview this week.

May 17, 202201:13

There is less suspense on the Democratic side in Pennsylvania. In the Senate primary, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman has held a sizable lead in polls, though he was absent from the campaign trail in the closing days after suffering a stroke.

“We feel very good about today,” Fetterman’s wife Gisele said after voting in their hometown of Braddock on Tuesday morning. “I think he will get to celebrate soon.”

She said her husband will be voting in the primary and will “be back on the trail soon” after resting and recovering from the stroke, though she didn’t have an exact date.

“This is the seat that could decide very much the future of our country and where we go on issues that he’s worked so hard on for the last two decades,” she said. “So it’s a very important seat. It’s very serious.”

State Attorney General Josh Shapiro is unopposed in his bid for the Democratic nomination for governor. Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf is term-limited.

Shapiro, who was scheduled to host an election night rally in Johnstown, tweeted Tuesday morning that he had tested positive for Covid and would isolate before returning to the campaign trail next week.

Primaries in North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon

Voters are also nominating candidates Tuesday in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina and Oregon. 

The GOP Senate primary in North Carolina, where Republican incumbent Richard Burr is retiring, has particularly high stakes. Trump has endorsed Rep. Ted Budd, who according to recent polls is far ahead of former Gov. Pat McCrory. Budd also has the backing of the Club for Growth, a big-spending conservative group that split with Trump in this month’s rowdy Senate primary in Ohio as well as in Pennsylvania, where the group is behind Barnette. The winner is likely to face Democratic front-runner Cheri Beasley, a former chief justice of the state Supreme Court. 

Also in North Carolina, first-term Rep. Madison Cawthorn faces a tough GOP primary that could derail a career that once seemed in sync with Trumpism. He’s enraged congressional colleagues by accusing them of hedonistic behavior. He’s puzzled others by calling Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy “a thug.” And several recent photos and videos have surfaced — in one Cawthorn is seen naked, gyrating on top of another man — that could wound him politically. But Cawthorn would need only a plurality to win in the crowded field.

In Idaho, Republican Gov. Brad Little has signed strict anti-abortion and anti-transgender measures into law, but is nonetheless facing a Trump-backed primary challenge from his own lieutenant governor, Janice McGeachin, who has courted the far-right and been in a more or less open war with Little for years.

Meanwhile, in Oregon, two House Democratic primaries have attracted national buzz. 

In a crowded primary for the 6th Congressional District, a PAC linked to a cryptocurrency billionaire has spent $10.5 million — a virtually unheard-of sum, making it by far the most expensive House race of the cycle so far, according to Open Secrets. And in the neighboring 7th District, national Democrats are backing moderate Rep. Kurt Schrader while the local party is supporting progressive challenger Jamie McLeod-Skinner, arguing Schrader is not a real incumbent since the heavily redrawn district is now composed mostly of new voters.

May 16, 202201:45

But it’s Pennsylvania — with its chaotic and Trumpy primaries and swing-state status — that is commanding most of the national attention. The Senate race is expected to be one of the most expensive in the battle for control of the chamber this fall. The two parties have a 50/50 split in the chamber, with Vice President Kamala Harris serving as a tie-breaking vote for Democrats.

Trump inserted himself into the Senate race there early, endorsing Sean Parnell, an Army veteran and unsuccessful congressional candidate in 2020. But Parnell dropped out last fall after losing a child custody dispute that included allegations — which he denied — of abuse. 

Oz and McCormick quickly jumped into the race. And McCormick, whose hedge fund history clashed with Trump’s economic nationalism and anti-China rhetoric, quickly surrounded himself with high-level veterans of the former president’s White House administration and campaigns. McCormick’s wife, Dina Powell, served in the Trump administration and was featured prominently in her husband’s campaign ads. Oz’s dual citizenship in Turkey and the occasionally liberal positions he advanced before entering politics became fodder for McCormick and other rivals. Oz has vowed to renounce his Turkish citizenship if he wins the Senate race. And he had two influential champions who helped him score Trump’s endorsement: former first lady Melania Trump and Fox News host Sean Hannity.

Barnette, meanwhile, was perhaps best known for an unsuccessful 2020 congressional bid in the Philadelphia suburbs — a landslide loss that she baselessly attributed to voter fraud

She stood out, though, at candidate forums and debates, earning free media coverage that offset the fact that Oz and McCormick were outspending her exponentially on TV. And Barnette’s personal story — she speaks often about how she was conceived when her mother, then 11 years old, was raped — has resonated on the right at a time when the U.S. Supreme Court might soon overturn the constitutional right to an abortion.

On the Democratic side, the populist Fetterman has long been outpolling centrist U.S. Rep. Conor Lamb and State Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta, who would be the state’s first openly gay and first Black senator. Fetterman has built a national profile through his support for legal marijuana and LGBTQ rights while eschewing labels like “progressive” and pushing back on comparisons with Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., the democratic socialist he has aligned with in the past.

Lamb and Kenyatta have both criticized Fetterman for a 2013 incident in which he pulled a shotgun on a Black jogger after hearing what he thought was gunfire and detaining the man until police arrived. Fetterman, who is white and was mayor of the Pittsburgh-area borough of Braddock at the time, has said he couldn’t tell the man’s race at the time. The jogger was unarmed.

The attacks from Lamb and Kenyatta have not appeared to harm Fetterman in a primary that polls have shown him leading from the start.

Source: | This article originally belongs to Nbcnews.com

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