Analysis: This was meant to be his week of reckoning, but one backer gives PM a 55% chance of surviving

This was meant to be Boris Johnson’s week of reckoning, but after more twists and turns than a Formula One grand prix, he ended the week closeted away in his country retreat of Chequers, his premiership safe – for now.

Scores of Tory MPs have been awaiting the verdict of Sue Gray, the senior civil servant investigating alleged lockdown-busting parties in Downing Street, before deciding whether to press for a vote of no confidence in the prime minister.

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